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Central Florida Real Estate Market Report — December 2025

By Yellow Mountain Realty


December closed out 2025 with a clear “rebalancing” profile across Central Florida: inventory remains meaningfully higher than the ultra-tight conditions of 2021–2022, time-on-market is generally longer, and buyers continue to gain negotiation leverage—especially in price-sensitive submarkets and segments with heavier investor concentration. At the same time, the late-December drop-in mortgage rates improved affordability at the margin and helped stabilize buyer activity heading into early 2026. 

1) Market Snapshot

Because ORRA’s most recent published full monthly “Housing Market Narrative / State of the Market” at the time of writing reflects November 2025, the December 2025 summary below uses:

  • November 2025 (full-month ORRA data) as the baseline, and
  • Week of Dec 28, 2025 (ORRA’s Monday Morning Quarterback) as the end-of-month activity pulse. 


A) Pricing

  • ORRA (November 2025, all residential): Median home price $385,000, up 1.3% month-over-month. 
  • Late-December (week of Dec 28, single-family): Median single-family price $415,000. 

Interpretation: The December market showed continued price resilience in many single-family segments, while buyer selectivity remained high. Weekly readings at year-end often reflect mix-shift (what closed) as much as pure price movement.


B) Sales / Demand

  • ORRA (November 2025): Overall sales fell 22.1% from October to November (2,335 → 1,820). 
  • Late-December weekly pulse: Single-family sales increased to 361 in the week of Dec 28 (from 207 the week prior). 

Interpretation: December seasonality typically suppresses closings, but the late-December week shows buyers were still active—consistent with improving rate psychology into year-end.


C) Supply / Inventory

  • ORRA (November 2025): Inventory 12,516; months of supply 6.88 (ORRA described this as effectively “balanced” territory). 
  • Late-December weekly pulse: Single-family inventory 7,917; condo/townhome/villa inventory 3,981 (weekly read). 

Interpretation: Inventory remains the defining theme: buyers have more options, and sellers must compete more aggressively on price, condition, and concessions—especially outside the most desirable school zones and lifestyle nodes.

2) Mortgage Rate Backdrop

Freddie Mac’s weekly survey shows the 30-year fixed rate averaged ~6.15% as of December 31, 2025, the lowest weekly read of 2025 (per Freddie Mac’s release). 

Why this matters locally: Even modest rate relief tends to re-activate marginal buyers in Central Florida’s payment-sensitive price bands (roughly the $300k–$600k range), and it supports early-year showing traffic as spring approaches.

3) Submarket “On-the-Ground” Signals (Central Florida)

To complement the ORRA metro-level lens, the following Redfin snapshots reflect November 2025 conditions (most recent month shown on those pages at the time of writing). These are useful as directional indicators across major corridors:

  • Orlando (city): Median sale price $405K, +4.8% YoY; average DOM ~64 days. 
  • Kissimmee: Median sale price $375K, +20.4% YoY; average DOM ~46 days. 
  • Sanford: Median sale price $309K, -6.4% YoY; average DOM ~58 days. 
  • Davenport (I-4 / Polk growth corridor): Median sale price ~$322K, -1.6% YoY; average DOM ~93 days. 
  • Winter Garden (West Orange): Median sale price $675K, +20.1% YoY; average DOM ~50 days. 
  • Lake Nona (Orlando submarket): Median sale price $780K, -1.3% YoY; average DOM ~59 days. 


Practical takeaway: Central Florida is not moving as a single market—premium school/lifestyle submarkets can hold value and velocity, while investor-heavy and affordability-stretched pockets experience longer DOM and more negotiation.

4) What This Means for Buyers vs. Sellers (December 2025 Positioning)

For Buyers

  • Inventory and months-of-supply readings support more leverage than prior years, particularly for homes that are dated, overpriced, or lingering. 
  • Late-December rate improvement is a meaningful tailwind; buyers who act early (before peak spring competition) may capture better terms. 


For Sellers

  • The market is rewarding correct initial pricing and turnkey presentation; “test-the-market” pricing is more likely to create stale listings as supply normalizes.
  • Expect buyers to request closing cost credits, rate buydowns, repairs, or price reductions, especially when competing listings are abundant.


📞 Contact us today to discuss your property goals in Orlando, Davenport, Kissimmee, or anywhere across Central Florida.

🌐 www.YellowMountainRealty.com

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